Everyone's Blog Posts - Philip Copeman2024-03-19T05:15:42Zhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profiles/blog/feed?xn_auth=noBudget 2021 - iceberg starboardtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2021-02-25:2353269:BlogPost:621632021-02-25T14:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">An Accountants guide to The South African Budget</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">Philip Copeman</font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">The TurboCASH Project</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">25 February 2021…</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">An Accountants guide to The South African Budget</font></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">Philip Copeman</font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">The TurboCASH Project</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">25 February 2021</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><b>Annual Budget 2021 to 2022</b></font></p>
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<p class="western"><b><strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span>Introduction</span></font></font></font></strong></b></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">The minister opens his speech with the claim, "<font color="#252525"><i> </i></font><font color="#252525"><font size="3"><i><span>Today I want to leave you hopeful and outline how we will leave this economy in better shape for those who come after us."</span></i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3">The Ministers's claim is questionable when one sees the legacy of debt and unemployment that this budget will leave.</font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><a href="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597685880?profile=original" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597685880?profile=RESIZE_710x" class="align-full"/></a></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><br/></font> <strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><b>The Fiscal Framework</b></span></font></font></font></strong></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">I have taken data from Minister Mbowenis Speech and prepared a draft set of management accounts. Here is a summary</font></p>
<p class="western"><a href="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8600068856?profile=original" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">sabudget2122.ods</font></a></p>
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<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><b>Revenue, Tax</b></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><i><font color="#252525"><font size="3"><span>Main budget revenue is projected to be R1.35 trillion or 25.3 percent as a share of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2021/22. This rises to R1.52 trillion in the outer year (2023/24) of the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF).</span></font></font></i></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><b>Expenditure</b></font></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><i>At the same time, non-interest spending will remain steady at approximately R1.56 trillion over the next three years but will decline as a share of GDP from 29.2 per cent in 2021/22 to 26.2 percent of GDP in 2023/24.</i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font color="#252525"><font size="3"><i><span>Total consolidated spending amounts to R2 trillion each year over the medium term, the majority of which goes towards social services.</span></i></font></font> <br/></font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><b>Deficit</b></font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><i><font color="#252525"><font size="3"><span>With this framework, we are on track to achieve our goal of closing the main budget primary deficit. We shall achieve a primary surplus on the main budget in 2024/25. This important achievement will coincide with the end of this sixth Parliament.</span></font></font></i></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font color="#252525"><font size="3"><i><span>Most importantly, we will stabilize government debt at 88.9 percent of GDP in 2025/26 and the ratio will decline thereafter. This is a significant improvement to the framework we presented in October last year and creates a sound platform for sustainable growth.</span></i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><b>Economic Outlook</b></span></font></font></font></strong> <font face="Times New Roman, serif"><i><br/></i></font> <font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><i><span>In this context, the South African economy is expected to rebound by 3.3 percent this year, following a 7.2 percent contraction in 2020, and an average of 1.9 percent in the outer two years.</span></i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><b>Medium Term Spending Plans and Job Creation</b></span></font></font></font></strong><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><br/></font> <font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><i><span>Madam Speaker, my fourth reason for hope is that this Budget explicitly supports economic transformation and job creation.</span></i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><i><font color="#252525"><font size="3"><span>I have outlined a few of the reasons we have to be hopeful but also acknowledge that much work remains to be done.</span></font></font></i></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">With this statement, The Minister does not directly address unemployment in the Budget Speech.</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">I have therefore taken the opportunity to impose Figures from Stats SA onto The Ministers medium Term Forecast and I show that this budget is leading us to an employment bloodbath. (see calculations)</font></p>
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<p class="western"><a href="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597689065?profile=original" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597689065?profile=RESIZE_710x" class="align-full"/></a></p>
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<p class="western"><strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><b>Tax Policy Changes</b></span></font></font></font></strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><br/></span></font></font></font> <font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><i><span>We must advise this House that we now expect to collect R1.21 trillion in taxes during 2020/21, which is about R213 billion less than our 2020 Budget expectations. This is the largest tax shortfall on record.</span></i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><b>Summary of the Presentation on the Fiscal Strategy </b></span></font></font></font></strong></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font color="#252525"><font size="3"><i><span>This 2021 budget framework puts South Africa on course to achieve a primary surplus. By doing this, government debt will stabilize at 88.9 percent of GDP in 2025/26.</span></i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">This would require a reduction of borrowing of 480Bn from 2024 to 2025 and would require the economy to grow organically by 10 percent in 2025 – <b>this deduction is incoherent. This budget cannot be accepted as "</b><i><b>putting us on course for a primary surplus."</b></i></font></p>
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<p class="western"><a href="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597690094?profile=original" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597690094?profile=RESIZE_710x" class="align-full"/></a></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><b>Summary</b></font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><span>This budget will neither put us into a stable fiscal framework nor will it deal with our horrific unemployment problem. The outcome derived by treasury defies logic. And does not</span></font> <font face="Times New Roman, serif"><i><span>"</span></i></font><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><i><span>affirm our commitment to sustainable public finances."</span></i></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><b><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3">Suggested alternatives</font></font></font></b></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span>Whenever I comment on a budget, particularly if it is critical, I always suggest alternatives.</span></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span>I have omitted to quibble about the line items of expenditure. I would exchange salaried government employees for increased grants.</span></font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span>The details of line expenditure are eclipsed in importance by the failure of the budget to implement structural changes. Here are proposals to correct, growth and debt.</span></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><strong>Implement Land reform</strong> particularly restitution immediately. (willing seller)</span></font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><strong>VAT Reform.</strong> Scrap zero-rated items and make hundreds of thousands of SMEs immediately competitive in the supply of basic commodities</span></font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><strong>Scope of intervention</strong>. Stimulate wide-ranging sectors like agri-processing for GDP growth.</span></font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><strong>Revoke EWC</strong>. Will immediately increase Capital deployed (Approximately R1.5 Trillion, will increase GDP by 5 % per year.)</span></font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><strong>Cut Government salaries</strong> massively, immediately</span></font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><strong>Introduce Universal Income Grant</strong> immediately</span></font></font></font></p>
<p class="western"><strong><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3">Scrap deficit spending.</font></font></font></strong></p>
<p class="western"><font color="#252525"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><font size="3"><span><strong>Reduce Tax rates</strong> on small business and SME employees.</span></font></font></font></p>
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<p class="western"><strong><font face="Times New Roman, serif">References</font></strong></p>
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<p class="western"><a href="https://www.gov.za/speeches/minister-tito-mboweni-2021-budget-speech-24-feb-2021-0000"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">Ministers Budget 2021 Speech</font></a></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><b>Labor market Data</b></font></p>
<p class="western"><a href="http://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/P0211/P02114thQuarter2020.pdf"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">STATSSA Quarterly Labor Force Survery</font></a></p>
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<p class="western"><a href="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597608277?profile=original" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><img src="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/8597608277?profile=RESIZE_710x" class="align-full"/></font></a></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif">Previous Budget Reviews by Philip Copeman</font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><a href="http://philipcopeman.ning.com/profiles/blogs/budget-2018-do-nothing-in-the-face-of-crisis">Budget 2018</a> - I suggested that revenues would fall short of forecast and suggested similar policies to 2020</font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><a href="http://philipcopeman.ning.com/profiles/blogs/budget-2017">Budget 2017</a> – I warn that the Deficit will blow to the highest level since before Apartheid.</font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Times New Roman, serif"><a href="http://philipcopeman.ning.com/profiles/blogs/the-anc-2016-budget-african-socialism-answers">Budget 2016</a> - See how deficit financing has blown up from R 100 Bn per year to R500 Bn.</font></p>
<p class="western"></p>The Sermons of Philiptag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2020-05-30:2353269:BlogPost:245082020-05-30T09:35:46.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western">I awoke this morning to the realities of christian tyranny.</p>
<p class="western">In one swift sweep of their dark wings, the demons of the lord have snuffed out freedom and our world has become engulfed in shadows of madness. Giant Bats fly freely under the noonday sun.</p>
<p class="western">After 60 days of dutifully following the christians around the lockdown desert, starving the virus their god sent us, I am left watching my flock, legally denied from following their…</p>
<p class="western">I awoke this morning to the realities of christian tyranny.</p>
<p class="western">In one swift sweep of their dark wings, the demons of the lord have snuffed out freedom and our world has become engulfed in shadows of madness. Giant Bats fly freely under the noonday sun.</p>
<p class="western">After 60 days of dutifully following the christians around the lockdown desert, starving the virus their god sent us, I am left watching my flock, legally denied from following their dreams, to be told to pursue this orchestrated stumbling through the jamboree that is the universe. The beast sends his priests to seduce them with scraps and temp them with bleak offerings.</p>
<p class="western">Faced with this bleak wasteland,</p>
<p class="western">I found myself seeking comfort,</p>
<p class="western">dusting off a book not recently opened,</p>
<p class="western">“The Sermons of Philip”.</p>
<p class="western">I have begun editing the second edition...</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"></p>The Sermons of Philiptag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2020-05-30:2353269:BlogPost:243092020-05-30T09:35:41.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western">I awoke this morning to the realities of christian tyranny.</p>
<p class="western">In one swift sweep of their dark wings, the demons of the lord have snuffed out freedom and our world has become engulfed in shadows of madness. Giant Bats fly freely under the noonday sun.</p>
<p class="western">After 60 days of dutifully following the christians around the lockdown desert, starving the virus their god sent us, I am left watching my flock, legally denied from following their…</p>
<p class="western">I awoke this morning to the realities of christian tyranny.</p>
<p class="western">In one swift sweep of their dark wings, the demons of the lord have snuffed out freedom and our world has become engulfed in shadows of madness. Giant Bats fly freely under the noonday sun.</p>
<p class="western">After 60 days of dutifully following the christians around the lockdown desert, starving the virus their god sent us, I am left watching my flock, legally denied from following their dreams, to be told to pursue this orchestrated stumbling through the jamboree that is the universe. The beast sends his priests to seduce them with scraps and temp them with bleak offerings.</p>
<p class="western">Faced with this bleak wasteland,</p>
<p class="western">I found myself seeking comfort,</p>
<p class="western">dusting off a book not recently opened,</p>
<p class="western">“The Sermons of Philip”.</p>
<p class="western">I have begun editing the second edition...</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"></p>The Sermons of Philiptag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2020-05-30:2353269:BlogPost:243082020-05-30T09:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western">I awoke this morning to the realities of christian tyranny.</p>
<p class="western">In one swift sweep of their dark wings, the demons of the lord have snuffed out freedom and our world has become engulfed in shadows of madness. Giant Bats fly freely under the noonday sun.</p>
<p class="western">After 60 days of dutifully following the christians around the lockdown desert, starving the virus their god sent us, I am left watching my flock, legally denied from following their…</p>
<p class="western">I awoke this morning to the realities of christian tyranny.</p>
<p class="western">In one swift sweep of their dark wings, the demons of the lord have snuffed out freedom and our world has become engulfed in shadows of madness. Giant Bats fly freely under the noonday sun.</p>
<p class="western">After 60 days of dutifully following the christians around the lockdown desert, starving the virus their god sent us, I am left watching my flock, legally denied from following their dreams, to be told we have no plan other than to pursue this orchestrated stumbling through the jamboree that is the universe. The beast sends his priests to seduce them with scraps and temp them with shiny offerings. The best drag their feet as the walk around the flames, the worst are filled with good intention.</p>
<p class="western">Faced with this bleak wasteland,</p>
<p class="western">I found myself seeking comfort,</p>
<p class="western">dusting off a book not recently opened,</p>
<p class="western">“The Sermons of Philip”.</p>
<p class="western">I have begun editing the second edition...</p>
<p class="western"><a href="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/5475302277?profile=original" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/5475302277?profile=RESIZE_710x" class="align-full"/></a></p>
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<p class="western"></p>God and God's first fishermentag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2020-02-19:2353269:BlogPost:243042020-02-19T22:38:13.000ZF.J. COUWENBERGHhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/FJCOUWENBERGH
<p>Dear Philip,</p>
<p>I read what your God-believing colleague wrote. I'm a Duch humanosopher and the origins of our God belief is my speciallity. <br></br>Normal animals don't believe in concepts. God is one of the many consequences of our earliest ancestors becoming linguistic. I name them here OEAs, living in little bands of bonobo-like apemen somewhere in what is now Ethiopia, in a woodland environment. When? I suppose some 4.5 million years ago. <br></br>Linguisticallity means that they, then…</p>
<p>Dear Philip,</p>
<p>I read what your God-believing colleague wrote. I'm a Duch humanosopher and the origins of our God belief is my speciallity. <br/>Normal animals don't believe in concepts. God is one of the many consequences of our earliest ancestors becoming linguistic. I name them here OEAs, living in little bands of bonobo-like apemen somewhere in what is now Ethiopia, in a woodland environment. When? I suppose some 4.5 million years ago. <br/>Linguisticallity means that they, then still normal animals, began to enrich their body language communication with names for things. That started with sign symbols. Not for things that they got aware with their senses, in a stimulus/reponse way, but things that they had in mind. <br/>Think of the Hints game: showing what you have in mind with gestures. At least: this is my speculation, my 'informed guess' ... better speculation than the 'sudden gen mutation' of most scientists. [A humanosopher is not a scientist, it is a philosopher who gathers as much scientific data as possible, to use it for our Big Story]<br/> <br/>It started with nothing, and it remained many generations a little. But the initial girls' game was an enrichment of their communication so it stayed and it expanded. And it changed the OEAs. Because having names for things does something to an animal. It does five things.<br/>Aarch!! This becomes a much too long post for a blog! Can you do something yourselve? On my website <a href="http://www.humanosophy.org">www.humanosophy.org</a> I tell this story much better than I can do this here in a nutshell. And I have to go to bed now.<br/>Can I have a response from you, Philip? I promise you an interesting discussion. Because you are an interesting man.<br/>FransC<br/><br/></p>Women Succeed in STEM careers in Muslim countriestag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2018-08-21:2353269:BlogPost:220052018-08-21T09:38:52.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">Muslims - you are not going to like this.</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">The Old Man has a way of talking to us, through data and not through prayer! And what the data is saying is that muslin countries could be doing better in the technology sector. Since Islam is my second favorite Abrahamist religion I feel compelled to help you. I hope you can read this in that spirit.…</font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">Muslims - you are not going to like this.</font></p>
<p class="western"><br/><br/></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">The Old Man has a way of talking to us, through data and not through prayer! And what the data is saying is that muslin countries could be doing better in the technology sector. Since Islam is my second favorite Abrahamist religion I feel compelled to help you. I hope you can read this in that spirit.<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/99019055?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="400" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/99019055?profile=RESIZE_480x480" class="align-right" width="400"/></a></font></p>
<p class="western"><br/><br/></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">I have been perplexed by a <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/02/the-more-gender-equality-the-fewer-women-in-stem/553592/">recent study result</a> that found that “Jordan, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates were the only three countries in which boys are significantly</font> <font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif"><i>less</i></font> <font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">likely to feel comfortable working on math problems than girls are. “</font></p>
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<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">It is not limited to these countries. The data shows that across a number of Arab countries the proportion of women STEM graduates is higher for women that other countries. This counter intuitive result has been perplexing me for weeks, especially when the neo liberal explanation of the science writer for The Atlantic Magazine fails to put out a coherent explanation. Why do women in countries ostensibly against gender equality, come out on top in science?</font></p>
<p class="western"><br/><br/></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">The explanation I propose is more plausible but likely to upset your Imam. You see, the thing about science is that it is primarily an atheist pursuit! There two key reasons for this. One, the more you start to understand the scientific frameworks for explaining the Universe, the less you see a need of a creative role for the Old Man. Two, science is not an ally of religion, but a competitor. Science actually offers a life style of thinking that is an alternative to a religious framework. Sure you do get Abrahamist that can span both models, but scratch them and underneath you will find pathological intellectual</font> <a href="https://www.google.com/search?safe=off&client=firefox-b&q=schizophrenics&spell=1&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjb_s3X3P3cAhUQyYUKHUdOCVsQBQgmKAE"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif"><i><b>schizophrenics</b></i></font></a> <font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">.</font></p>
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<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">Back to the babes in the burkas. Why are they so successful? Maybe it is not they are super women but rather that their male counterparts are flunkies. In Muslim countries boys are given preference in religious studies and relatively, the best minds tend to follow religious or philosophical careers.</font></p>
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<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">The explanation of the relative success of muslim females in STEM careers is not that they are oppressed, but actually that it is the boys that are oppressed! You are going to want to send the thought police in to investigate these women. If what I am hypothesizing is correct, it is precisely the second rate religious education that islamic women receive which makes them more prone to accept scientific ideas than their brothers. If I am right and the priests are wrong, then muslim countries will have a big job rearranging their societies to take advantage of the 4th Industrial Revolution or risk being left behind.</font></p>
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<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font face="Segoe UI, sans-serif">Christians and Jews don't like me either. I would welcome any other plausible explanation of this data that you might have.</font></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>The Maths of Racial Mixingtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2018-06-25:2353269:BlogPost:216022018-06-25T11:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Lets consider mathematically what happens when two racially distinct humanoid populations meet. eg Settlers arriving in South Africa.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">You can assume as much as you like that these populations hate each other and would never think of cross breeding, but in reality a cross breeding rate of 1% is probably a massive underestimate. In the case of…</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Lets consider mathematically what happens when two racially distinct humanoid populations meet. eg Settlers arriving in South Africa.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">You can assume as much as you like that these populations hate each other and would never think of cross breeding, but in reality a cross breeding rate of 1% is probably a massive underestimate. In the case of Settlers, they brought relatively few women with them. (emigration is a guy thing)<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956634?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="300" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956634?profile=RESIZE_320x320" class="align-right" width="300"/></a></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Lets go through the sequence of events:</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">In generation 0 the populations are distinct.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">After 1 Generation 1% is mixed race.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">After 2 Generations, 3% is mixed race – the 1% of new and 2% from the mixed race component breeding back into the original separate populations.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">After Generation 3 it is 7% - The one percent plus the 3 breeding back.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Simplified the sequence goes 1 - 3 – 7 – 15 – 31.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">It is a little more complicated than that, but I guess you get the drift. Dutch and Khoisan have been fraternizing for 12 Generations, Bantu and Khoisan have been fraternizing for 30 Generation. The simple reality is that contrary to the racist wishful thinking, we are in fact a mixed race.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">This should go a long way to explaining why South Africans can't play football like West Africans and why Afrikaners don't buy sun cream and why indigenous is not as endemic as you might think.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956651?profile=original" target="_self"><img src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956651?profile=original" class="align-full" width="207"/></a><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956734?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="750" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956734?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" class="align-full" width="750"/></a></p>On the Beachtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2018-04-12:2353269:BlogPost:214032018-04-12T12:06:40.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Who would have thought in the first half of the 21<sup>st</sup> century,</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">That minds immeasurably inferior to ours would bring about our end.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Each day more beautiful than the last, crescends in a strawberry sunset,</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Vanilla clouds sparkle for a…</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Who would have thought in the first half of the 21<sup>st</sup> century,</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">That minds immeasurably inferior to ours would bring about our end.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Each day more beautiful than the last, crescends in a strawberry sunset,</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Vanilla clouds sparkle for a brief moment and darkness is served.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">I spent a lifetime, too busy for fiction</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Now find myself drawn to old sci-fi,</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Speed reading, grabbing at falling bank notes.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Oblivious to their worthlessness.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">On the Beach foresees the ever widening gyre engulf us all.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">There is no refuge for the innocent, for there are no innocent.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Blood red is the sky, a reminder of how we took for granted,</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Nay how we missed, the opportunity to love our fellow man.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956700?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="750" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956700?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" class="align-full" width="750"/></a></p>Steven Hawkingtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2018-03-14:2353269:BlogPost:213072018-03-14T21:21:08.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in; page-break-before: always;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">It is because of guys like Hawking that have 10 years of back copies of New Scientist piled in my office. Before The Internet, I would wait eagerly each week for their arrival.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Steven Hawking inspired wannabe…</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in; page-break-before: always;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">It is because of guys like Hawking that have 10 years of back copies of New Scientist piled in my office. Before The Internet, I would wait eagerly each week for their arrival.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Steven Hawking inspired wannabe physicists for a generation. If you are older, he ranks right there with Carl Sagan and Richard Feynman. If you are younger, he is second only to Sheldon Cooper. That these guys succeeded in capturing our imagination is beyond doubt. There are more physicists alive today that in the total history of mankind.<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956628?profile=original" target="_self"><img src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956628?profile=original" class="align-right" width="225"/></a></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">What can we say about him as a theoretical physicist? Steven Hawking – the inventor of Hawking Radiation, the idea that Black holes are not as black as we thought. This is where it starts to get a bit iffy. My mama told me not to speak ill of the dead, but with his soul but a few feet above our heads I'm gonna risk it.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Í don''t speak ill of Steven Hawking, a man who's physical courage is exemplary, rather I am going to speak ill of the thousands of physicists that are still alive today to hear it. You see - basically theoretical physics hasn't move forward for the last 50 years. Its hard to think of anything significant that has happened since Bells Theorem.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">There are so many areas of applied science that are racing forward. 50 years ago it would have been tough to forecast, the Internet, Big Data, AI, Cell Phones, Google search, mass food production, Granger Causality, 3D movies, Gene splicing, Ito Calculus, facebook.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Theoretical Physics? You basically had what we have today, fifty years ago. In fact all that has happened is it got worse. We have defined Quantum Mechanics down to the level of Quarks in the Standard model, we are a gnat's cock away from identifying Gravity waves, we can see to the end of the Universe, but none of it hangs together. The theory of big and small are so far apart that there can only be one conclusion – they are both wrong!</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">We have presided over a generation of theoretical physicists that has never been busier achieving less.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">It is sad to see the death of Sagan, Feynmen and Hawking but they must make way for a new messiah that will deliver us from the hiatus. He cannot come from the group think that has trapped us for 50 years. Surely this man must come out of the desert. Expect him to be riding on a donkey.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>Budget 2018 - Do Nothing in the face of Crisistag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2018-02-22:2353269:BlogPost:212042018-02-22T12:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956708?profile=original" target="_self"><img class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956708?profile=RESIZE_480x480" width="400"></img></a></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">In summary the problem with the 2018 Budget is that it does nothing in the face of a crisis. This is not a budget, it is a stop gap to the 2019 elections. The Minister of finance is running in circles in a designer suite, playing…</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956708?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="400" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956708?profile=RESIZE_480x480" class="align-right" width="400"/></a></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">In summary the problem with the 2018 Budget is that it does nothing in the face of a crisis. This is not a budget, it is a stop gap to the 2019 elections. The Minister of finance is running in circles in a designer suite, playing musical chairs and the music is about to stop.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Our crisis is 1% growth, 26% unemployment and a deficit of R 2,5 Trn.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Let me say that again for the inattentive:</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Our crisis is 1% growth, 26% unemployment and a deficit of R 2,5 Trn.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">In the face of this, from the team that should be leading us out of the woods, our response is a limp and sure to be ineffectual budget. We are not even forecasting a success! We are forecasting a R 191 Bn step towards a R 2,5 Trn calamity and it is likely to be worse. Shivambu says it – we have no plan. (He should know - he also has no plan).</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">It is hard to see VAT collections being R 70Bn higher next year than this year, 15% or Laffer curve not. To actually get the benefit of the VAT increase, you have to get a 20% increase in the sale of Vatable products. It ain't gonna happen. Unemployed consumers don't spend and threatened business people emigrate and spend on foreign goods. From the moment CR mentioned “without compensation” future tax revenues and future employment prospects started to plummet.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Read the numbers carefully. The budget highlight - R 57 Bn on free education - is not R 57 BN, but actually only R 19 Bn a year. Think of this as extending social grants to one million students ( just over R 1,000 per month each) – except they don't actually get the money -it goes to pay ANC cadres working at Universities. Its simple to see where the money comes from. We take it from the other 11 Million grantees and give them a below inflation increase - R183.5 Bn.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">We are starting to markusjoosticate the numbers. We are forecasting a 1% increase in GDP and a mystical 8% increase of R 110 Bn in tax revenues - ( R1,24 Bn to R 1,345) Which is going to take a VAT jump of about 100% on revenues. And deferring accounting for interest by a year – R 194,2 Bn (standard EBIT trick by accountants). This after previously missing the forecast by R 50 Bn. My quick estimate (possibly - ill- informed- stab-in-the- dark- estimate) is that we are doing creative accounting on about R 150 Bn or around 12% of our fiscal collections. (R50 Bn from 2017 which we are admitting to on year later, R 50 Bn from 2018 which we still have to report and R 50 Bn from 2019 which is dreamland.)</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Don't look at me – take a look at the VAT numbers that come from SARS – Our last VAT reported collection 2017 at 14% R 289 BN – our fore cast for 2019 R 348 Bn that is a R 60 Bn increase or 20% on a increased rate of 1/14 or 7% and a GDP forecast of 1%. Doesn't add up. These numbers look like a ducktape fix to get us through to the 2019 elections.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">This is a time for action, Radical Economic Transformation - not muddling. Here are five Rs to follow</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">R etrench one third of the Government workers to become tax makers, not tax takers;</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">R esdistribute the Land parcels in place of grants;</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">R evise VAT laws to favor SME Businesses.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">R educe deficit spending until it is a surplus and do it now.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">R eplace the racist legislation with anything that stimulates growth.</p>The case against Cheddar Man's blackness.tag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2018-02-09:2353269:BlogPost:213022018-02-09T13:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">To begin - a note on why skin color is important.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">While Africa is a continent of diverse racial mixings, those with higher levels of melamine have historically suffered racist attacks. Currently, ultra racist societies like Israel would deport Cheddar Man. Today albinos are hunted for their body parts in Central Africa. For the sake of the…</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">To begin - a note on why skin color is important.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">While Africa is a continent of diverse racial mixings, those with higher levels of melamine have historically suffered racist attacks. Currently, ultra racist societies like Israel would deport Cheddar Man. Today albinos are hunted for their body parts in Central Africa. For the sake of the children lets get the evolutionary dynamics of skin color right.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">I have yet to analyse the haplotypes at Chris Stringers disposal, but the recent claim endorsed by Stringer, that Cheddar Man, the first Britton was black, based it seems solely on DNA, is yet to convince me.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Here are the problems:</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Firstly, unless this Cheddar man dude was carry around his own bedside UV light, he is subject to the same hostile environment of the Wurm ice age that still engulfes Britton 10,001 years ago. This not1, 000,000 B.C., with <span class="UFICommentActorAndBody"><span><span class="UFICommentBody">Raquel Welch</span></span></span> hanging around in a goat skin bikini, but the ice age period leading up to the thaw 10,000 years ago.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Only white people thrive in low UV environments, the presence of melamine obstructs your absorption of light and the development of Vitamen D. Black men, low on Vitamin D cant synthesize calcium compounds and get bone problems and then can't win the fathers race. Humans change theír skin color rapidly with changing climate, India proves the case over 3,000 years Polynesians, Taiwanese decedents prove it over less time. Cheddar man does not have that amount of time. He goes to bed one night in the snow and wakes up to a perfect golf day. (metaphorically over 30 generations.) So while it is vaguely possible to chill out, smoke a Jamaican spliff and imagine that Cheddar man is black and then by a decree of the Old Man, turns back to white when the PGA tees off, it is not probable. Not probable that his descendant is going to start at running back for the New York Giants.<a href="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f8/Ice_Age_Temperature.png/300px-Ice_Age_Temperature.png" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f8/Ice_Age_Temperature.png/300px-Ice_Age_Temperature.png" class="align-right"/></a></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">For Cheddar man to be black and his girlfreinds and buddies too, they have max 1,000 years to evolve blackness. The UK warmed up quickly, but not that much as attested by their cricket team and the fact that if you have a white bank manager his grandfather is likely to have been born in the UK. White people still thrive there, 10 ,000 years later. So unless there is that cheap tropical island travel, that Brits love so much, is still available in the upper Palaeolithic, white folks prevail.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Secondly, when you use the term 'blackness' do not confuse this with the melamine intensive skin color of West Africans. All or almost all Wurm travellers Out of Africa 60,000 years are likely to turn their children white, particularly those that come into Europe 35, 000 years ago wearing sheepskin and cowering for warmth in caves. If they turned white everywhere else from Japan to Spain, they were highly unlikely to develop blackness by crossing channel, probably still wearing snow boots and singing, I'm Dreaming of a White Christmas.</p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p class="western" style="margin-bottom: 0in;">So Nah, Chris Stringer, your boy may have had blue eyes and be able to sing My Way, but he almost certain struggles with the rhythm and the chord changes in the bebop version bamboozle him. The best chance you Brittons have of becoming black is to go down to a pub in Notting Hill and try to look cool and not too available.</p>We are adrift at Seatag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-10-26:2353269:BlogPost:209042017-10-26T08:48:31.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p style="page-break-before: always;"><font size="3">We are lost.</font><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956626?profile=original" target="_self"><font size="3"><img class="align-right" height="214" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956626?profile=original" width="271"></img></font></a></p>
<p><font size="3">We are adrift at sea.</font></p>
<p><font size="3">Our Captain he has lost his mind -</font></p>
<p><font size="3">Oh deary deary dea!</font></p>
<p><br></br><br></br></p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p><font size="3">Minister Gigaba – I am pleased that you have learned to read a…</font></p>
<p style="page-break-before: always;"><font size="3">We are lost.</font><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956626?profile=original" target="_self"><font size="3"><img src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956626?profile=original" class="align-right" width="271" height="214"/></font></a></p>
<p><font size="3">We are adrift at sea.</font></p>
<p><font size="3">Our Captain he has lost his mind -</font></p>
<p><font size="3">Oh deary deary dea!</font></p>
<p><br/><br/></p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p><font size="3">Minister Gigaba – I am pleased that you have learned to read a telepromt in your first few months in office. I would have preferred that you spent the time understanding the gravity of the problem. Those budget numbers must be really confusing. You are unable to act, unable to articulate the problem and you merely to mouth the words of some unidentified speech writers, who clearly have no solution to offer, other than a vague proposal to keep the political power status quo.</font></p>
<p><font size="3">This has to be the first time in 40 years that I recall that opposition parties break with the tradition of defending the FM. Lekota got it,”Clearly I don't know what he is talking about, there is no plan here.”.</font></p>
<p><font size="3">The EFF must be commended for walking out . The rest of the parliamentarians should be ashamed to be paid to listen to this offering. Any PAC member that sat through your ineptitude, cannot be my representative.</font></p>
<p><font size="3">Minister Gigaba – you are trading insolvently. The claims on Government now exceed the ability to pay out. By your own numbers the deficit is now rising faster than the forecast revenue collections. You are forecasting that things will get worse than they are now. It is not acceptable to have no plan turn around the boat.</font></p>
<p><br/><br/></p>
<p><font size="3">It is that moment that every financial director dreads, when you have to go int the boss and tell him that the game is up. It is time to stop lying to the creditors. We have few options but to liquidate the position. Every day wasted makes the remedy more painful. Do we really need to explain what comes next?</font></p>
<p><br/><br/></p>Blaming Capitalismtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-07-06:2353269:BlogPost:196022017-07-06T20:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p>Blaming Capitalism for poverty is like blaming psychology for suicides.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Capitalism is not about harming others, it is a methodology to produce. Capitalism is not perfect, but only consumers blame capitalism for their unfulfilled wants. Real producers understand the demands of capital. The idea that capitalists are not generous and sharing is an anathema to me. By definition, Capitalists give up their own consumption to invest resources into production. You are mistaking the…</p>
<p>Blaming Capitalism for poverty is like blaming psychology for suicides.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Capitalism is not about harming others, it is a methodology to produce. Capitalism is not perfect, but only consumers blame capitalism for their unfulfilled wants. Real producers understand the demands of capital. The idea that capitalists are not generous and sharing is an anathema to me. By definition, Capitalists give up their own consumption to invest resources into production. You are mistaking the want of the consumers to consume today without saving for tomorrow.<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956648?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="400" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956648?profile=RESIZE_480x480" class="align-right" width="400"/></a></p>
<p></p>
<p>Capitalists appear to be harsh because they save and most importantly they invest. Consumers would have them spend those resources frivolously. No saving means no investment, means asking someone else to do your investing for you. Even when Capitalists do spend money on lavish items they are admonished. To most capitalists investing is more importnat than consuming. Their expenditure mare seen indulgent, but it is usually with a great deal more restraint than the99% who are inclined to spend it all and then some. Even so, every luxurious expense incurred by a rich person has a corresponding income benefit to a provider or supplier.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Consumers (Socialist ones at least) would have us believe that there is mythical place where we all work and we all share equally in the output. These comments are usually from people who work in jobs or have secure incomes. The truth of production is that very few people have the stomach and courage for profit. This is a figure close to 1% of the population. Yet it is these few that carry the burden of ensuring production. It is disingenuous to resent the successful few, when one does not even count the many that have bravely tried and failed in markets.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The best thing you can do for the 99% is not be part of them.</p>SA Economy Quick Fixtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-06-07:2353269:BlogPost:194022017-06-07T12:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p></p>
<p>These are my suggestions. None of these will be popular with the incumbents.</p>
<p>1) Race.</p>
<p>Cut the nonsense discussion on race. It makes whites unpatriotic and it creates an unrealistic expectation in blacks. The problem is not race, it is Small vs Big business. Because of history that comes down to (small-black) vs (big -white). but viewing in terms of the race issue distracts. The big industries will fight with everything to hold their privilege. We have to focus pressure…</p>
<p></p>
<p>These are my suggestions. None of these will be popular with the incumbents.</p>
<p>1) Race.</p>
<p>Cut the nonsense discussion on race. It makes whites unpatriotic and it creates an unrealistic expectation in blacks. The problem is not race, it is Small vs Big business. Because of history that comes down to (small-black) vs (big -white). but viewing in terms of the race issue distracts. The big industries will fight with everything to hold their privilege. We have to focus pressure on them and keep it up. They use the race to confuse the issue. Big black business is as bad, if not worse, than big white business (See ravages of the PIC and SOEs)</p>
<p></p>
<p>2) VAT</p>
<p>Lift the rate and the threshold. A VAT at say 25% for over R 5 Million Turnover, would open massive margin for SMEs. It encourages value add instantly. This way we tax consumption rather than taxing income. Vat on ALL products. Rather subsidise the poor in grants than allow few to control distribution. This will also fix the current account.<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956675?profile=original" target="_self"><img src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956675?profile=original" class="align-right" width="225"/></a></p>
<p></p>
<p>3) Retail</p>
<p>Restrict corporate retail This is the one they will really hate. Make it a law that the owner must be present in a retail outlet. (like a doctor or pharmacist) Japan does this.</p>
<p></p>
<p>4) Glass-Steagal for Banks</p>
<p>Banks may ONLY borrow and lend. They may not participate in business ownership. Currently bansk end up competing with start ups using depositors money. This will quickly break monopolies. Will take back control monetary policy</p>
<p></p>
<p>5) Free telecoms</p>
<p>Stop using Telecomms as a tax. Free telecoms is the fastest way to accumulate SME capital. By free, I mean free as in libre not gratis.</p>
<p>6) Tariffs</p>
<p>100% tariff on imports and remittances</p>
<p>This is a long argument in development economics and takes a detailed discussion. Without the analysis it can look crazy. The idea is to stimulate local value add, with all the sector multipliers that come with it. See Eric Reinert - How rich countries got rich and why poor countries stay poor.</p>
<p>Take the 100% tariff and subsidize exporters 100%. This will enable us to build a few focused global industries.</p>
<p></p>
<p>7) Universal income grant</p>
<p>It creates a base demand and flattens inequality. See Post Capitalism by Paul Mason</p>
<p></p>
<p>8) Cut the deficit immediately</p>
<p>Each rand we go further into debt is a rand we have to dig ourselves out of later. Under the current regime we are simply transferring assets to a narrow band and leaving the broad population to pick up the tab later.<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956714?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="300" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956714?profile=RESIZE_320x320" class="align-right" width="300"/></a></p>
<p></p>
<p>9) Investment is debt</p>
<p>Leave the obsession with FDI. Terms have turned against developing markets. Cost of Capital is prohibitive and restricts us in the long run. We need broad local ownership or nothing. There are no examples in the 21st century of countries benefiting from external investment, the terms are always in favor of the creditors. Foreign tech expansions are not investments!</p>
<p></p>
<p>10) Force the adoption of Open Source</p>
<p>Proprietary software is a one way trail of revenue from us to them. Open source builds the local knowledge economy.</p>The Angel of Deathtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-04-22:2353269:BlogPost:191162017-04-22T09:08:58.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p></p>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;">The Angel of Death</blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;">The angel of death took a Southern turn<br></br>To meet his devil friend.<br></br>Cape Town is a very good place<br></br>To party at worlds end.......<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956736?profile=original" target="_self"><img class="align-right" height="264" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956736?profile=RESIZE_480x480" width="336"></img></a> <br></br><br></br></blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Michael…</blockquote>
<p></p>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;">The Angel of Death</blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;">The angel of death took a Southern turn<br/>To meet his devil friend.<br/>Cape Town is a very good place<br/>To party at worlds end.......<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956736?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="400" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956736?profile=RESIZE_480x480" class="align-right" width="336" height="264"/></a><br/><br/></blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Michael won't you row the boat ashore<br/>Can you see this soul is spent<br/>April is a very good time<br/>To call the end of Lent<br/><br/>Ayeeyah, Ayeeyah haho<br/>Ayeeyah, Ayeeyah haho<br/><br/>Come said the Devil, the night is young<br/>Cocktails on the beach.<br/>By the time they hit the Waterfront<br/>It was half a dozen each.<br/><br/>Ladies of the night come out to play,<br/>I love to see you sweat.<br/>Hey big spender won't you buy me a drink<br/>And I'll see what you can get.</blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-left: 0in;">ROCK AND ROLL IS A NEW KIND OF SOUTHERN SOUND</blockquote>
<blockquote style="margin-left: 0in;">YOU CAN BLUES IT WITH A BACKBEAT ON FOUR.</blockquote>
<p>OH THE FIRST TIME I KISSED HER ,WE WERE OUT ON THE TOWN</p>
<p>TAKE ME TO YOU CAR AND I'LL GIVE YOU SOME MORE</p>
<p><br/> CAN'T RESIST HER,<br/> NOT MY SISTER <br/> NEXT THING I REMEMBER WE WERE HEADING FOR THE DOOR....<br/><br/> Now it was April when we took Lord Jesus down<br/> We can take this pair as well<br/> So they drank up the Bottle and they hit the road <br/> On the Journey into Hell!<br/><br/> Ayeeyah, Ayeeyah haho<br/> Ayeeyah, Ayeeyah ha (CRASH)<br/><br/> So mothers won't your tell your children now<br/> Not to do what they have done.<br/> Don't go out in the Autumn Night,<br/> Stay home till the rising sun.<br/><br/> Ayeeyah, Ayeeyah haho<br/> Ayeeyah, Ayeeyah haho (fade)</p>Colonialism for Capetonianstag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-04-04:2353269:BlogPost:188092017-04-04T13:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Colonialism is not a colloquialism for black-white relations.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The idea of using a spurious connection between racism and Colonialism is not only disingenuous, but runs orthogonal to the vector of historical truth. For surely no true statement about Colonialism can be construed as racist. Such logic leads to absurdities.…</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Colonialism is not a colloquialism for black-white relations.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The idea of using a spurious connection between racism and Colonialism is not only disingenuous, but runs orthogonal to the vector of historical truth. For surely no true statement about Colonialism can be construed as racist. Such logic leads to absurdities.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Make no mistake, under the logic of <a href="http://philipcopeman.ning.com/profiles/blogs/termlimits">#termlimits</a> it is time for Helen Zille AND ALL career politicians to vacate the Legislature, the Executive and the political parties. In an ideal world, the DA would make an example by recalling all representatives that have done duty for more than 8 years. These professional parasites should all leave politics and come into private life and celebrate our country along with ordinary private citizens who contribute towards the fiscus. The green shoots that will emerge (within weeks) will taste oh so sweet.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">A white witch hunt will serve few beyond Maimane and those wishing to promote the national aspirations of the DA.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The following statement must by definition stand as a statement of truth- <b>Colonialism was not ONLY bad - fact.</b> No matter how ashamed you are of the actions of your ancestors or in what obscure way you want to relate your currents actions and feelings to past events, no matter what emotional trauma or selfish introspection you have to endure to examine these issues, no matter how you may wish to use dialect to your political advantage, face it - historical truth is a demanding mistress.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">For the sake of the beginners, Colonialism was a term coined by British subjects living in the colonies of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. The colonists, supported by the sponsorship of Imperialist England, sought greater control of the colonies and in particular sought rights not given to the indigenous people. The biggest South African proponents of this line of politics was Cecil John Rhodes. The resulting Glen Gray Act and the Boer War were vicious incursions designed to ensure Colonial domination. The domination of the invading colonists over the imperialists and the indigenous natives.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">“<font size="3">History does not repeat itself but it surely echoes.” Mark Twain<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956823?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="300" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956823?profile=RESIZE_320x320" class="align-right" width="300"/></a></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Colonialism is alive and flourishing today and transcends racial boundaries. Borders in Africa were set up by the Imperial masters in London, Lisbon, Paris, Brussels, Rome and Berlin. When you drop these artificial fences a very interesting Neocolonialism emerges.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Consider the City where I live, Cape Town. Indulge me, for this exersise, the geographic border of the Karoo, the cultural border of the Afrikaans language and the religious border of Calvinist Christianity. Like San Francisco, London, Berlin or Hong Kong, Cape Town, is a perfect example of a Colonial City. In the last 30 years the Colonists, from Johannesburg, Eastern Cape, Zimabwe, Malawi and Congo DRC have migrated to Cape Town and excluded the indigenous people, mixed race, mostly Afrikaans speakers of Cape birth with varied racial profiles and generally followers of Calvinist Christianity.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The Johannesburgers, mostly white, mostly English speaking, left Johannesburg to escape the encroaching Africanisation of a post Apartheid City. These are not distant ancestors, these people are me and all who live around me. Few of us regret having left behind the metropolitan chaos of Johannesburg. Here, we have taken control of the best Land in the Cape, The Atlantic Seaboard and Southern suburbs and pushed the indigenous people into ever smaller pockets of control in the thirsty hills of Bellville and the windswept Cape Flats. This is why the natives complain that their children cannot afford to live in the suburbs where they grew up!</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Mirroring the Dutch invasion of 350 Years ago, the new colonists have established thriving businesses and use indentured labor to run them. We have imported our own ”slave” labor. People that will worked for lower wages and under harder conditions than the locals. We pay our own children less in wages than they could earn in Johannesburg. The suppression of wages has driven up unemployment in the indigenous people. In particular we have taken the”stepping stone” jobs. Stepping stone jobs are jobs done by young people, car guards,car washers, caddies domestic servants, waiters, kitchenstaff, drivers and office staff. I list these jobs out of nostalgia, because they were all jobs that I performed as a nascent entrepreneur. The indigenous people find themselves unemployed, unable to step onto the employment roll, unable to grow into entrepreneurial roles. The “Government Jobs” have also been taken by invaders.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">To see this in action, look no further than the Taxi industry. When I arrived in Cape Town it was run by indigenous Capetonians. Within a few years of the millennium, it was staffed by the Eastern Cape Invaders. In the last two years Uber-fueled Zimbabweans are driving cars in fleets owned by settlers from Johannesburg. Indigenous taxi drivers are all but excluded from working. Its not written law, but the de facto effect is the same as the Glen Gray act, the indigenous Capetonians are pushed to the margin in the name of colonial progress.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Local Afrikaans culture has given way to our English ways. We have culturally emaciated Stellenbosh University, once a bastion of Afrikanerdom. We have even introduced English and Xhosa as alternatives to the indigenous Afrikaans in schools. Our scholars can now study and never have to bother with the language of the natives. In fact we have turned language so that dependency on Afrikaans is now a barrier for the natives. All the while the innocent Capetonians have stood by and facilitated our invasion. It is jaw dropping to find out that the aspirations of young English and Xhosa settlers, bereft of any capabilities in Afrikaans, is to “go to Stellies”.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">No kidding, 30 years ago Stellenbosch shut down on Sundays. We have transformed the Cape from a Calvinist outpost to a secular melting pot. God is on the retreat and atheists ride in broad daylight on the backs of giant black bats. If any of the indigenous Capetonians express religious intent, they are soon mocked and pitied by the invaders. In their own Land, their church is in retreat.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Premier Helen Zille is one of us – a colonist. Maimane is not even that, he sits a thousand kilometers away in the Imperialist offices of Guateng and starts blurting out double speak fantasies of an imaginary Post Colonial Cape, devoid of realismbut crafted to suit his national political aspirations. Zille has ensured that we colonists thrive, run our exploitation and marginalize the indigenous people. We do the unbelievable, grant resources and favor the newly arrived migrants at the economic expense of the indigenous. This is not history - this is today. The share of Land, Income and Government resources spent on the Indigenous Capetonians has diminished in favor of the colonists, who continue to flock here.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The Land first the rest shall follow.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Under successive ANC and then DA governments, rather than redress the Apartheid Land injustices by redistributing Land to the recently dispossessed indigenous, we have instead handed out large tracts of Land to the immigrants. In Tokai, where I live the indigenous people are now a minority. All this in 30 years, most of it in the last 15 years. You have more chance of hearing the native Afrikaans language in London or Auckland than you have on the streets of Tokai.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">If you have ever wondered how the Colonialists of the nineteenth century could be so blatantly selfish and ruthless, look no further than yourself today. None of the Capes invaders feel any regret for our actions. In fact we feel an entitlement to all we reap around us. We even use the ANC as a partner to perpetrate our colonial “crime”. This why the ranks of the Prison services, police force are filled with invaders.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">We are not Colonialists by force, we are Colonialist by choice. I am not a supporter of the DA, but I would wager a small farm in the Boland that in a two horse race, indigenous Capetonians choose Zille over Maimane, for the Colonialist chains that Zille offers do not chafe as much as the Imperilaist yoke that an outsider like Maimane would surely offer. What will Maimane offer the Capetonians but further subjugation to the outsiders?</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The modern Cape, dear reader is echoing Colonialism and it will persist as long as we keep producing beads and mirrors for the natives and as long as they are happy to spend their unemployed days looking at themselves in their new found reflectors. Why else would the indigenous people support and vote for modern Cape Colonialism? Unless you believe that the Capetonians are irrational or stupid, it proves the adage that Colonialism is not ONLY bad.</font></p>Colonialism for Capetonianstag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-04-04:2353269:BlogPost:191112017-04-04T11:55:40.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Colonialism is not a colloquialism for black-white relations.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The idea of using a spurious connection between racism and Colonialism is not only disingenuous, but runs orthogonal to the vector of historical truth. For surely no true statement about Colonialism can be construed as racist. Such logic leads to absurdities.…</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Colonialism is not a colloquialism for black-white relations.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The idea of using a spurious connection between racism and Colonialism is not only disingenuous, but runs orthogonal to the vector of historical truth. For surely no true statement about Colonialism can be construed as racist. Such logic leads to absurdities.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Make no mistake, under the logic of <a href="http://philipcopeman.ning.com/profiles/blogs/termlimits">#termlimits</a> it is time for Helen Zille AND ALL career politicians to vacate the Legislature, the Executive and the political parties. In an ideal world, the DA would make an example by recalling all representatives that have done duty for more than 8 years. These professional parasites should all leave politics and come into private life and celebrate our country along with ordinary private citizens who contribute towards the fiscus. The green shoots that will emerge (within weeks) will taste oh so sweet.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">A white witch hunt will serve few beyond Maimane and those wishing to promote the national aspirations of the DA.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The following statement must by definition stand as a statement of truth- <b>Colonialism was not ONLY bad - fact.</b> No matter how ashamed you are of the actions of your ancestors or in what obscure way you want to relate your currents actions and feelings to past events, no matter what emotional trauma or selfish introspection you have to endure to examine these issues, no matter how you may wish to use dialect to your political advantage, face it - historical truth is a demanding mistress.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">For the sake of the beginners, Colonialism was a term coined by British subjects living in the colonies of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. The colonists, supported by the sponsorship of Imperialist England, sought greater control of the colonies and in particular sought rights not given to the indigenous people. The biggest South African proponents of this line of politics was Cecil John Rhodes. The resulting Glen Gray Act and the Boer War were vicious incursions designed to ensure Colonial domination. The domination of the invading colonists over the imperialists and the indigenous natives.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">“<font size="3">History does not repeat itself but it surely echoes.” Mark Twain<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956783?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="250" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956783?profile=RESIZE_320x320" class="align-right" width="250"/></a></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Colonialism is alive and flourishing today and transcends racial boundaries. Borders in Africa were set up by the Imperial masters in London, Lisbon, Paris, Brussels, Rome and Berlin. When you drop these artificial fences a very interesting Neocolonialism emerges.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Consider the City where I live, Cape Town. Indulge me, for this exersise, the geographic border of the Karoo, the cultural border of the Afrikaans language and the religious border of Calvinist Christianity. Like San Francisco, London, Berlin or Hong Kong, Cape Town, is a perfect example of a Colonial City. In the last 30 years the Colonists, from Johannesburg, Eastern Cape, Zimabwe, Malawi and Congo DRC have migrated to Cape Town and excluded the indigenous people, mixed race, mostly Afrikaans speakers of Cape birth with varied racial profiles and generally followers of Calvinist Christianity.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The Johannesburgers, mostly white, mostly English speaking, left Johannesburg to escape the encroaching Africanisation of a post Apartheid City. These are not distant ancestors, these people are me and all who live around me. Few of us regret having left behind the metropolitan chaos of Johannesburg. Here, we have taken control of the best Land in the Cape, The Atlantic Seaboard and Southern suburbs and pushed the indigenous people into ever smaller pockets of control in the thirsty hills of Bellville and the windswept Cape Flats. This is why the natives complain that their children cannot afford to live in the suburbs where they grew up!</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Mirroring the Dutch invasion of 350 Years ago, the new colonists have established thriving businesses and use indentured labor to run them. We have imported our own ”slave” labor. People that will worked for lower wages and under harder conditions than the locals. We pay our own children less in wages than they could earn in Johannesburg. The suppression of wages has driven up unemployment in the indigenous people. In particular we have taken the”stepping stone” jobs. Stepping stone jobs are jobs done by young people, car guards,car washers, caddies domestic servants, waiters, kitchenstaff, drivers and office staff. I list these jobs out of nostalgia, because they were all jobs that I performed as a nascent entrepreneur. The indigenous people find themselves unemployed, unable to step onto the employment roll, unable to grow into entrepreneurial roles. The “Government Jobs” have also been taken by invaders.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">To see this in action, look no further than the Taxi industry. When I arrived in Cape Town it was run by indigenous Capetonians. Within a few years of the millennium, it was staffed by the Eastern Cape Invaders. In the last two years Uber-fueled Zimbabweans are driving cars in fleets owned by settlers from Johannesburg. Indigenous taxi drivers are all but excluded from working. Its not written law, but the de facto effect is the same as the Glen Gray act, the indigenous Capetonians are pushed to the margin in the name of colonial progress.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Local Afrikaans culture has given way to our English ways. We have culturally emaciated Stellenbosh University, once a bastion of Afrikanerdom. We have even introduced English and Xhosa as alternatives to the indigenous Afrikaans in schools. Our scholars can now study and never have to bother with the language of the natives. In fact we have turned language so that dependency on Afrikaans is now a barrier for the natives. All the while the innocent Capetonians have stood by and facilitated our invasion. It is jaw dropping to find out that the aspirations of young English and Xhosa settlers, bereft of any capabilities in Afrikaans, is to “go to Stellies”.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">No kidding, 30 years ago Stellenbosch shut down on Sundays. We have transformed the Cape from a Calvinist outpost to a secular melting pot. God is on the retreat and atheists ride in broad daylight on the backs of giant black bats. If any of the indigenous Capetonians express religious intent, they are soon mocked and pitied by the invaders. In their own Land, their church is in retreat.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Premier Helen Zille is one of us – a colonist. Maimane is not even that, he sits a thousand kilometers away in the Imperialist offices of Guateng and starts blurting out double speak fantasies of an imaginary Post Colonial Cape, devoid of realismbut crafted to suit his national political aspirations. Zille has ensured that we colonists thrive, run our exploitation and marginalize the indigenous people. We do the unbelievable, grant resources and favor the newly arrived migrants at the economic expense of the indigenous. This is not history - this is today. The share of Land, Income and Government resources spent on the Indigenous Capetonians has diminished in favor of the colonists, who continue to flock here.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The Land first the rest shall follow.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">Under successive ANC and then DA governments, rather than redress the Apartheid Land injustices by redistributing Land to the recently dispossessed indigenous, we have instead handed out large tracts of Land to the immigrants. In Tokai, where I live the indigenous people are now a minority. All this in 30 years, most of it in the last 15 years. You have more chance of hearing the native Afrikaans language in London or Auckland than you have on the streets of Tokai.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">If you have ever wondered how the Colonialists of the nineteenth century could be so blatantly selfish and ruthless, look no further than yourself today. None of the Capes invaders feel any regret for our actions. In fact we feel an entitlement to all we reap around us. We even use the ANC as a partner to perpetrate our colonial “crime”. This why the ranks of the Prison services, police force are filled with invaders.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">We are not Colonialists by force, we are Colonialist by choice. I am not a supporter of the DA, but I would wager a small farm in the Boland that in a two horse race, indigenous Capetonians choose Zille over Maimane, for the Colonialist chains that Zille offers do not chafe as much as the Imperilaist yoke that an outsider like Maimane would surely offer. What will Maimane offer the Capetonians but further subjugation to the outsiders?</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><font size="3">The modern Cape, dear reader is echoing Colonialism and it will persist as long as we keep producing beads and mirrors for the natives and as long as they are happy to spend their unemployed days looking at themselves in their new found reflectors. Why else would the indigenous people support and vote for modern Cape Colonialism? Unless you believe that the Capetonians are irrational or stupid, it proves the adage that Colonialism is not ONLY bad.</font></p>#termlimitstag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-03-31:2353269:BlogPost:188072017-03-31T13:59:12.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">I would like to talk about #termlimits how they can help democracies world wide and highlight how they can solve the current political position in South Africa.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Term limits is a global movement that wants the current constitutional term limits on Presidents extended. To set an example for the world, I am suggesting that this is how we should play it in South Africa:…</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">I would like to talk about #termlimits how they can help democracies world wide and highlight how they can solve the current political position in South Africa.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Term limits is a global movement that wants the current constitutional term limits on Presidents extended. To set an example for the world, I am suggesting that this is how we should play it in South Africa:</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956673?profile=original" target="_self"><img src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956673?profile=original" class="align-right" width="280" height="263"/></a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">All persons are restricted in all representative positions to a maximum of two terms or eight years in total. For example, a municipal councilor who serves four years on a council and then four years in Parliament, may not run for President or any further public office.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Once a person has reached their term limit they are severely restricted in terms of interaction with the public office. In particular they may not : ever run for public office again; hold membership of any political party; be employed in any state owned entity; work in any Government department; be an employee, director or shareholder of any company that supplies services to Government; be the beneficiary of any fees relating to providing Government services.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Persons who reach their term limit are expected to behave as loyal private citizens and follow the will of the democratic majority. This would put major restrictions on ambitions of career politicians. It will greatly diminish the cost of these participants and will open democracies to a dynamic flow of new ideas and fresh management.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Term limits will make the transfer of power from one set of leaders to the next far simpler, weaken the influence of individual leaders, minimize corruption and promote dynamic economics.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Term limits will change the class of politicians we are able to recruit. Currently we get Politicians whose primary skill is gaining and retaining political power. By reducing the barriers to entry we get a selection process that will far better favor performers.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">By forcing representatives into the private sector we ensure that they act in our best interests, because they will live the rest of their lives as one of us.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">We should implement this immediately.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Here is how we should do it in South Africa – we should appeal to the rank and file members of political parties (they have the most to gain from immediate access to power). Parties that should have no problem signing up : ANC, DA, EFF, COPE, IFP, PAC. There may be some ill fated resistance incumbent leaders, but they are far out numbered by the next generation.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">With the wide spread support of a near consensus, we draw up and pass a constitutional amendment and pass it at the next sitting of Parliament. By the end of April we should have been able to exclude about 25% of current representatives from further polical participation. With enough goodwill a new fresh South Africa can arise in May.</p>Colonialismtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-03-17:2353269:BlogPost:189082017-03-17T12:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p>1)A great many evils were perpetrated in the colonial period, none greater than the murder of 26,000 Afrikaners and their supporters in the 1900 Anglo Boer War. The economic mismanagement and growth underperformance caused by the Glen Grey, The Land Acts had far reaching implications for the underdevelopment of South Africa. The brunt of these mischievous deeds were born by black South Africans in that period.</p>
<p></p>
<p>2) It is time for Helen Zille, along with all the other elected…</p>
<p>1)A great many evils were perpetrated in the colonial period, none greater than the murder of 26,000 Afrikaners and their supporters in the 1900 Anglo Boer War. The economic mismanagement and growth underperformance caused by the Glen Grey, The Land Acts had far reaching implications for the underdevelopment of South Africa. The brunt of these mischievous deeds were born by black South Africans in that period.</p>
<p></p>
<p>2) It is time for Helen Zille, along with all the other elected representatives and career politicians that have served 8 years or more, to leave politics and make way for fresh ideas. #termlimits<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956695?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="300" class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956695?profile=RESIZE_320x320"/></a></p>
<p></p>
<p>At any time in reading this article you find yourself in disagreement with me and lacking in the tools for rational debate, you feel the urge to descend in racists expletives, please refer to points 1) and 2) above.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The branding of Zille as a racist based on her tweets on Colonialism is not only emotive and disingenuous, it serves little in creating a framework of discourse to promote patriotism and national unity. It is downright damaging to the understanding of our own history. The knock on effect on current affairs is that rather than putting the past behind us and moving forward, we fall back into describing ourselves in a context that is no longer relevant, a context that causes us to underperform as a Nation.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The term “Colonialism” derives from the 17<sup><font size="2">th</font></sup> and 18<sup><font size="2">th</font></sup> centuries as a result of the Expansion of Europe. In expanding their Imperialist Empires, The British in particular, dispersed colonists to a large number of countries. Later generations of Colonists, born in foreign countries developed split loyalties and felt that they were better able to Govern these territories than the logistically removed Imperialist administrators. The Colonialists were in fact the first effective revolutionaries against the Imperialist forces. This resistance started with the American War of Independence, and echoes though to today.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Colonialist were rarely motivated by the interests of the local inhabitants and the forces at play were steeped in self interest rather than universall humanitarianism. Indeed they sought to advance their own narrow interests. In the case of the 19<sup><font size="2">th</font></sup> Century British and their interests in South Africa, the Imperialists were easily motivated to cede control to the Colonialists. The British Empire was largely financed by its 300 year Rape of India. The South African colonies provided little in the way of cash dividends and when lobbied by people like Cecil Rhodes, or confronted by Nationalists like Andries Pretorius, the Imperialists were eager to avoid expense and conflict and easily gave away control to the Colonialists. This was not ubiquitous. In the case of Botswana, Swaziland and Lesotho the Black Africans chose Imperialist control over the near slavery offered by the Colonialists. It was at the request of the territories that “Protectorates” were formed.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Comparing historic Colonialism to modern Democracy is limited in meaning. Clearly Democracy is better. However, Democracy did not exist in 19<sup><font size="2">th</font></sup> century Southern Africa. Ceterus paribus (all other things being equal), if we are going to evaluate the merits or demerits of Colonialism then it should be done in the context of Colonialist South Africa vs Imperialist Botswana, Lesotho, and Swaziland.</p>
<p></p>
<p>In the context of Zille's statement that Colonialism was “not ONLY negative” to Maimane's statement that “Colonialism...can never be justified”, clearly Zille is right and Maimane is wrong. There are many aspects that make the Colonialist outcome of South Africa preferable to the Imperialist outcome of say, Swaziland. It is a debate beyond the scope of this article to detail these, however you have only to observe the will of the African people. They migrate to South Africa, they do not migrate to Swaziland Lesotho or Botswana.</p>
<p></p>
<p>But this debate is not about historical Colonialism is it? In the context that is being played out Colonialism has been substituted as a proxy for “white”.</p>
<p></p>
<p>This is where the destruction of our unity begins. Modern white South Africans are not Colonialists. By their actions, the majority of white South Africans support the constitutional democracy and do not support the Colonialist position that any minority group should run the affairs of South Africa. Africans of all races are not excluded from the institutions created by Colonialism and have been passed onto all us. In fact we have dubious racist laws that require racial profiling to ensure racial equity.</p>
<p></p>
<p>South Africans of all races are quick to seek placing blame on someone else. Colonialists are “never us”. It is always “them”. We would do far better to understand the genetic truth that the vast majority of South Africans have Colonialist ancestors. And if not genetically, socially we have all inherited this history. Colonial history is not something that separates us, it is something that joins us – in blood.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Using “Colonialism” as a proxy for “whiteness” leads us to a racist double speak. Do modern white South Africans have a place in South Africa and a democratic right to self enrichment? Aye now there's the rub. When we mischievously link Zille's Tweet to a racist agenda, what we really mean is “We have had enough of this white bitch and all her kind and don't want to listen to her opinion, right or wrong.” What we want is to climb up onto a hillock of self righteousness, roll back reality and pretend that our history was something else. More particularly, we want to use the ambivalence to advance our own tribal political agenda. The enormous cost to our Nation is to restrict our democratic development and defer our inevitable unification.</p>
<p></p>
<p>It is unfortunate that Maimane is tunnelled into an extension of his own political career. He loses the opportunity to unify and succumbs to the double speak that will inevitably turn against him. Intellectually he is out of context. You cannot justify or reject Colonialism. Colonialism is not a current state of affairs. Irrespective of your current opinion or desires for the future, Colonialism is a historical reality. </p>
<p>Unity, not division, is how we will protect ourselves against its resurgence.</p>
<p></p>
<p>I stand with the Africanists who are frustrated that African traditions have been subjugated to a global agenda. Sadly this outcome is largely through our own adoption and intoxication of Western benefits, the very benefits pointed out by Zille. Neo Luddite denial-ism leads nowhere. It serves our joint efforts little to defer rational argument to advance the interests of specific racial groups in current affairs. We have a rich history, and like it or not Colonialism is how we got here. We are not a negative people, there are many positive things about our makeup. It is unfortunate that after expressing this revelation, rather than defend her position, Zille should collapse into an apologetic mess, for clearly she is syntactically correct - “Colonialism was not ONLY negative”</p>Budget 2017tag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-02-22:2353269:BlogPost:189062017-02-22T15:41:14.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">There is something quite surreal about watching your Nations leaders united as they stand and cheer in Pravin Gordhan, who has almost single handedly executed our economic destruction. Has no one read Mark Twain, "Whenever <em>you find yourself</em> on the side of the <em>majority</em>, it is time to pause and reflect."</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">If you read my 2013 Budget review,…</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">There is something quite surreal about watching your Nations leaders united as they stand and cheer in Pravin Gordhan, who has almost single handedly executed our economic destruction. Has no one read Mark Twain, "Whenever <em>you find yourself</em> on the side of the <em>majority</em>, it is time to pause and reflect."</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">If you read my 2013 Budget review, “Going over the fiscal cliff” you will have noted me then screaming that the National debt had reached R 1 Trillion. Those were the good days. It now stands at R 2,2 Trillion. It is with absolute exasperation that I watch a beaming Pravin tell us that the good news is that South Africa still has a “credible borrowing capacity.” Bring on Brain Molefe because this fool is going to take us to the bottom. Giving the Guptas a new shebeen is a cheap price to pay to get some form of competence, anyone who will just say “no more”.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">You look confused? Surely our finances are not dependent on Pravin Gordhan, surely the buck stops with the President or the whole Parliament itself? No The President is a clown, Miamane is a Clown, Malema is a clown, Manier is a clown. They are paid to be clowns - that is why they dance. They are priests, trade unionists and tenderpreneurs. Their job is to play to the crowd and see that their supporters get paid. They don't understand what the future is. The Minister of Finance has to be beyond that. He is there to protect us from them. When he starts to dance their tune we are truly broken.<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956621?profile=original" target="_self"><img src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956621?profile=original" class="align-right" width="400"/></a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">You are still going to have to read a financial table to understand my argument. Consider the table comparing the 2016 budget and the 2017 budget. Start with the 2017 revenue projection of R1440 Bn . Now we know we are in Zero growth (largely because Government has over the last 5 years completed crowed out private investment.) A tax revolt is already underway with this years 2016 revenues down R30Bn, Nevertheless our resident pharmacist pops a few pills and pencils in a 7% revenue growth. Throwing the last 50 years of economic theory to the wind, he ignores the Laffer curve and increases income tax rates (45%), fuel levy and dividends (20%). And he seriosuly wants us to believe that he will get it and get growth.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">If he had ever run a business himself the Minister would know that an income tax increase is simply passed on. Workers demand higher net wages, these are met by reducing staff (rising unemployment) and reducing output (lower GDP and taxes) When you are at full taxation, you cannot increase tax collections by increasing the rate of tax. It is like trying to squeeze a tea bag for a second cup. You don't get tea you get tannin.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">You will notice that while the rest of the economy stagnates, in Pravins cuckooland the Government sector advances spending by 8% and still “keeps debt at a stable 48%”. This is with no other purpose that containing the trough feeders. Already Government workers are paid more than Private sector workers, who have been laid off while Government employs. Don't be fooled by the argument “two thirds of our spend is on social services”. What they really mean is that two thirds of our spend is on the salaries of Government workers working in social services.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956716?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="400" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956716?profile=RESIZE_480x480" class="align-right" width="400"/></a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">Essentially what The ANC, The DA and The EFF are saying is that we can eat cake while they crank up their vital services of Governing us. The fact that Defense and Public Safety gets the high increase of 9% is a telling portent of the violence that is to come.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;">We have been falling down the fiscal cliff for four years now. This is time to secure your life jacket, the boat is about to hit the bottom.</p>SONA South Africatag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-02-10:2353269:BlogPost:191022017-02-10T11:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p>State of the Nation</p>
<p>South Africa, 10 February 2017<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956642?profile=original" target="_self"><img class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956642?profile=RESIZE_320x320" width="300"></img></a></p>
<p>Jacob Zuma - SONA State of the Nation Address </p>
<p>Philip Copeman - Answering</p>
<p></p>
<p>"The Land First the Rest shall Follow" - PAC of Azania</p>
<p></p>
<p>Most of Presidents Zuma's SONA delivered to a House emptied to the converted faithful, was a dreamy wishlist with little explanation of…</p>
<p>State of the Nation</p>
<p>South Africa, 10 February 2017<a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956642?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="300" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956642?profile=RESIZE_320x320" class="align-right" width="300"/></a></p>
<p>Jacob Zuma - SONA State of the Nation Address </p>
<p>Philip Copeman - Answering</p>
<p></p>
<p>"The Land First the Rest shall Follow" - PAC of Azania</p>
<p></p>
<p>Most of Presidents Zuma's SONA delivered to a House emptied to the converted faithful, was a dreamy wishlist with little explanation of execution. The Emperor has no clothes and no amount of theatrics can convince a rational mind otherwise. There is one benefit to scraping the bottom of the economic barrel. Finally we get around to addressing the Land Issue in South Africa.</p>
<p></p>
<p>As a Capitalist and Pan Africanist I have for some time urged the necessity of resolving the Land Issue. Once parties involved understand that the Land Issue is a Non Zero Sum Game, then resolving it is actually a rational solution. By coming up with a system that guarantees private ownership and tenure and shares this privilege with all Africans, there is a bigger pie to split and we all become better off. The problems come up when people associate into Political Parties, Racial Tribes, Religious Parishes and then attempt to use these demarcations to extract a preferential treatment - "A Chosen Land for the Chosen People", where "The Chosen" does not include ALL Africans.<br/> <br/> Sadly Parliament is not going solve this for us. <br/> <br/> The problem that besets us as South Africans is that we stand today as a house divided. It is the tyranny of the majority versus the self righteous exasperation of the minority. According to the Opposition and the Judiciary, our President has breached his Oath of Office. The Parliamentary Representatives of the ANC have breached their Oaths of Office by supporting him. By implication the whole Parliamentary process is now invalid. The Opposition argument is that The ANC and its members are behaving criminally. The Argument of the ANC is that they represent the majority and the opinions of the Judiciary are not binding and can be over ridden by the majority The debate can simply not be argued rationally, for no man can understand a logical argument when his salary depends on not understanding it. A swamp of self interest coagulates into cohorts eager to use litigation, theology and racism to coerce largess from the system. <br/> <br/> What is required is a Universal Income and Land Grant; Term limits for Politicians and a commitment to eliminating the Deficit. What we need is a CODESA 2.0 in which the restricted vision of the Drafters of the first CODESA can be updated to the benefit of the African People in the 21st Century. Alternately the ANC, DA and EFF must sit down together and modify the Constitution. A tough one because we are asking them to put South Africa first and they have to date shown us no inclination to do that. <br/> <br/> We should begin with the understanding that the Apartheid Incumbents and the ANC have had their sunset clause. We have allowed Groups to benefit at the cost to the African people. It is time to limit the tenure of politicians. Key to ensuring that self interested groups do not form again - introduce Term Limits. In particular the rule that applies to restrict the term of the President should be extended to include ALL representatives. That means that anybody that has served for two terms or more is now excluded from further representation. Not only are they restricted from representation, they are also restricted from participating in political parties. <br/> <br/> The Executive and The Directors of State Companies must be given strict Targets on whealth accumulation and the penalty for not protecting and enchancing State Assets is immediate dismissal.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Can our leaders come together and make decisions that benefit South Africa as a whole and not themselves or groups they may represent? The outcome of that choice is the State of Our Nation.</p>PAC 2017tag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2017-01-06:2353269:BlogPost:186022017-01-06T08:28:29.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p>OK PAC here is my offer for 2017. If we are going to win in 2019 we are going to need to make some changes:</p>
<p>We have to focus on the positive.</p>
<p>Voters will not follow negative narratives.</p>
<p>Its a liberation not a revolution.</p>
<p>There is only one race, the human race.</p>
<p>Deal with the rich. They may not have the vote, but they do determine the outcome of elections.</p>
<p>You can't make the poor richer by making the rich poorer. When you threaten to force the rich to…</p>
<p>OK PAC here is my offer for 2017. If we are going to win in 2019 we are going to need to make some changes:</p>
<p>We have to focus on the positive.</p>
<p>Voters will not follow negative narratives.</p>
<p>Its a liberation not a revolution.</p>
<p>There is only one race, the human race.</p>
<p>Deal with the rich. They may not have the vote, but they do determine the outcome of elections.</p>
<p>You can't make the poor richer by making the rich poorer. When you threaten to force the rich to give up privilege, you lose all credibility. We weren't able to do it last time and this time they have the ANC on their side. We want to industrialize. That means that we have to deal with Capital. Attacking Capital does not make us richer and simply isolates us. A political campaign without Capital is doomed before it starts.</p>
<p>To win you have to promise the voters a handout, and stick to the promise.</p>
<p>South Africans are not xenophobic, we can keep the goal of a united Africa. They just won't accept a one sided immigration policy, where we end up propping up dictatorships.</p>
<p>The Land issue is a non zero sum game. If we solve the Land issue, we all win.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Draft Manifesto</p>
<p></p>
<p>South African private citizens earn less than Government workers and we pay around 30 % of what we make in tax, VAT, Income Tax, Fuel levy, Monopoly electricity. Even those on minimum wage can pay as much as 25% of their income in tax. When we stop working, unless by private means we can expect nothing from our Government, no pension, no payout. At best a few of us will receive a minimal stipend.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Politicians on the other hand are paid handsomely and can expect a lifetime of payouts, long after the have stopped going to lunches. They spend their hours at work arguing over petty party politics, but there is one thing they always agree on, their salary increases. This imbalance has now become so overwhelming that we spend 80% of our tax collections to the benefit of less than 10% of our citizens. This payout goes mostly to the members of the ANC and DA.</p>
<p>It is time for change.</p>
<p>It is time for the liberation to benefit all South Africans.</p>
<p>We promise that within 100 days of us taking power, every South African will receive either a Land Grant or a Basic Income Grant. How will we pay for it? We are going to cut the Government Salary Bill by R 500Bn. We are going to pay the tax directly to the masses. We don't threaten private Land owners, our Government owns enough Land for distribution. By finally solving the Land Issue, we are going to offer businesses a bright and stable future that they can grow, our taxes can grow and we can all thrive.</p>
<p>If you choose it, your Liberation is 100 days away – Vote PAC 2019</p>
<p><iframe width="487" height="273" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/_Ud9foSTlNE?wmode=opaque" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen=""></iframe>
</p>
<p></p>Iron Rugbytag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-11-28:2353269:BlogPost:184022016-11-28T09:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p></p>
<p style="text-align: left;"></p>
<p align="center" class="western" style="text-align: left;"><span class="font-size-3"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="5" style="font-size: 20pt;">Iron Rugby is a high contact style of Rugby suited to teams of smaller players, black players and teams of varying physical sizes.…</font></font></span></p>
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<p></p>
<p style="text-align: left;"></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"><span class="font-size-3"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 20pt;" size="5">Iron Rugby is a high contact style of Rugby suited to teams of smaller players, black players and teams of varying physical sizes.</font></font></span></p>
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<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"><span class="font-size-3"><a href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B-0sZaN0d9Nhb1ZybDA3V2NoWUU" target="_blank"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 20pt;" size="5">Iron Rugby Manual (PDF)</font></font></a></span><span class="font-size-3"> 6.6Mb<br/></span></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"><span class="font-size-3">Front Cover</span></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"><span class="font-size-3"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956811?profile=original" target="_self">ironrugbyA4Cover2.jpg</a></span></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"><span class="font-size-3">Back Cover</span></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"><span class="font-size-3"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956789?profile=original" target="_self">ironrugbyA4CoverBack1.jpg</a></span></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"></p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: left;" align="center"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956682?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="450" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956682?profile=RESIZE_480x480" class="align-full" width="450"/></a></p>Golden Chariottag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-11-11:2353269:BlogPost:177182016-11-11T05:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p>Golden Chariot</p>
<p>A Eulogy for Leonard Cohen</p>
<p>Philip Copeman</p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956666?profile=original" target="_self"><img class="align-right" height="344" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956666?profile=RESIZE_480x480" width="344"></img></a></p>
<p>I rose in the moonlight, thunderous sound</p>
<p>The heavens opened, it rose off the ground.</p>
<p>The thong has broken</p>
<p>The Lord has spoken</p>
<p>Listen, listen. Keep your ear to the ground.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The Prophet is gone, for he had no choice</p>
<p>The singer…</p>
<p>Golden Chariot</p>
<p>A Eulogy for Leonard Cohen</p>
<p>Philip Copeman</p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956666?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="400" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956666?profile=RESIZE_480x480" class="align-right" width="344" height="344"/></a></p>
<p>I rose in the moonlight, thunderous sound</p>
<p>The heavens opened, it rose off the ground.</p>
<p>The thong has broken</p>
<p>The Lord has spoken</p>
<p>Listen, listen. Keep your ear to the ground.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The Prophet is gone, for he had no choice</p>
<p>The singer must die, the lie in his voice</p>
<p>Ah Halleluyah</p>
<p>Praise Super Lun-yah</p>
<p>My Lord, my Lord, in your will we rejoice.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Departed sisters of mercy not gone</p>
<p>The music goes softly sweetly right on</p>
<p>It rings in my head</p>
<p>I jump from my bed</p>
<p>Makes living, makes loving, makes me switch on</p>
<p></p>
<p>Ride out proud on your golden chariot</p>
<p>My regards to Judas Iscariot</p>
<p>Now be on your way</p>
<p>Or didn't you say</p>
<p>My poet, my singer - a laureate</p>
<p></p>
<p>BRIDGE</p>
<p>Oh, the sisters of mercy, they are not</p>
<p>departed or gone. <br/> They were waiting for me when I thought that</p>
<p>I just can't go on<br/> And they brought me their comfort and later</p>
<p>they brought me this song<br/> Oh, I hope you run into them, you who've</p>
<p>been travelling so long</p>The First Amendment for the Constitution of South Africatag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-11-09:2353269:BlogPost:180202016-11-09T11:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western">The First Amendment for the Constitution of South Africa</p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: right;"></p>
<p class="western"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956598?profile=original" target="_self"><img class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956598?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" width="500"></img></a></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Sponsor</p>
<p class="western">Philip Donald van der Riet Copeman</p>
<p class="western">5612275062088</p>
<p class="western">11 November 2016…</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">The First Amendment for the Constitution of South Africa</p>
<p class="western" style="text-align: right;"></p>
<p class="western"><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956598?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="500" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956598?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" class="align-right" width="500"/></a></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Sponsor</p>
<p class="western">Philip Donald van der Riet Copeman</p>
<p class="western">5612275062088</p>
<p class="western">11 November 2016</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Sponsoring Parties</p>
<p class="western">South African Parliament, 90% Majority. ANC, DA, EFF, Cope, PAC</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Preamble</p>
<p class="western">South Africa has now had 20 years as a Democracy, much progress has been made, but some flaws have been made. The Parties, in terms of the South Africa Constitution now wish to make an amendment that is done in the interest of advancing the poorest of our citizens. Previous ammendments have been corrections, we intend here to take real remedial action.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Settle the Land Issue</p>
<p class="western">Every qualifying adult citizen may apply for a Land Grant. Such land is to be made available outside of the Guateng and Cape Town Districts,which are declared Economic Development Zones. Clear limits are placed on future claims.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Universal Income Grant</p>
<p class="western">En Lieu of the above Land Grant, all Citizens are offered a Universal Income Grant. No age, gender or race limitations are applied. No one may apply for an extension to this grant particularly on the basis of race tribe, gender or religion.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Reduced Government</p>
<p class="western">Representative Government is reduced by 75%. Parliament is moved to Guateng. Provinces are reduced to 4.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Limit Representation</p>
<p class="western">No Citizen may serve in Representative Government for longer than 8 years, irrespective of position served. Citizens completing their service are restrained from membership in political parties, employment in Government Organizations or SEOs. Representative Government Service does not carry a pension. No political party may serve for longer than 12 consecutive years in any level of government In the event of a political party serving12 years in an legislative class, it must be excluded from the next representative election. Serving members of such a party, who have not served a full 8 years, are also disqualified from further representation.</p>
<p class="western">Government employees or Employees of SEOs are not subject to 8 year limitation, provided they do not serve more than 4 years as a representative.</p>
<p class="western">End Race Qualification</p>
<p class="western">All Racially Qualified Empowerment is disallowed. Employment equity legislation is repealed.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Outlaw the Deficit</p>
<p class="western">No Deficit financing may be used. Parliament may not approve a budget deficit. In the event of a realized Government Deficit, immediate remedy is a compulsory snap election, standing representatives are disqualified from further representation.</p>
<p class="western">Any Directors of State Owned Enterprises who return a negative capital growth are immediately terminated and disqualified from further SOE directorships.</p>
<p class="western">Employees of SOEs may be retrenched if Capital is reduced.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Limit personal tax</p>
<p class="western">Introduce a maximum personal tax limit</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Tarrifs</p>
<p class="western">Introduce a 100% (equal to the GDP/Tax Multiplier) tarriff on offshore supplier payments and capital gains payments.</p>
<p class="western"></p>Ode to Decolonised Educationtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-11-01:2353269:BlogPost:181022016-11-01T07:30:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p>Ode to Decolonized Education (In lyrical Elizabethan Sonnet form)</p>
<p></p>
<p>India colonised european minds<span class="text_exposed_show"> (synecdote)<br></br> They gave us algebra, counting absurd. (antithesis, pun)<br></br> Given zero, empires started to gird, (oxymoron, metonomy)<br></br> Commerce soon followed and oversea finds. …</span></p>
<p>Ode to Decolonized Education (In lyrical Elizabethan Sonnet form)</p>
<p></p>
<p>India colonised european minds<span class="text_exposed_show"> (synecdote)<br/> They gave us algebra, counting absurd. (antithesis, pun)<br/> Given zero, empires started to gird, (oxymoron, metonomy)<br/> Commerce soon followed and oversea finds. </span> (personification, enallage)</p>
<div class="text_exposed_show"><p>England colonised our faire azania (anaphora, irony)<br/> Boys play straight cricket and crooken straight ties, (hyperbaton, paradox, antanaclasis)<br/> Fathers wear suits, while our mothers bake pies. (satire)<br/> Go-girls, girls-go, banyan-abanyana (epistrophe)</p>
<p>Africans colonised america (euphemism, sarcasm) <br/> They bark'd in big boats, in charming choke chains (antimeria, innuendo, alliteration, transferred epithet)<br/> And brought freedom's rythms, masking their pains. (enjamberment, conceit, metaphor) <br/> No back beats no drums, a numerica... (litotes, malapropism, ellipsis)</p>
<p>Those who lament the demise of the tribes? (rhetorical question, sibilance, hyperbole)<br/> Listen to jazz, double bass, ringing vibes. (rhyming couplet, onomatopoeia, homophone)</p>
</div>
<div class="text_exposed_show"></div>Adamastor or a storm in a Tea cup?tag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-08-24:2353269:BlogPost:180132016-08-24T09:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">Granted, when it comes to the Deficit, I am more jumpy than a project manager on a new extension at Nkandla, but consider these three estimates of the South African Deficit.</font></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">1) This is a press release from SARS chief, Tim Moyane as reported by…</font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">Granted, when it comes to the Deficit, I am more jumpy than a project manager on a new extension at Nkandla, but consider these three estimates of the South African Deficit.</font></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">1) This is a press release from SARS chief, Tim Moyane as reported by <a href="http://www.bdlive.co.za/national/2016/08/23/tax-collected-in-first-quarter-misses-sars-target-by-r4.5bn?cx_tag=bcuf">Business Day 23 August.</a> 2016</font></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"><i>The lower tax returns reflect a sluggish economy, which is going to make meeting the annual tax target of more than R1-trillion a challenge for the tax authority.</i></p>
<p class="western"><i>A total of R256.9bn was collected, with VAT coming in 5.5% or R3.3bn lower than estimates, due to rising interest rates, tighter credit conditions, high unemployment and the depreciation of the rand. VAT refunds were 5.6% or R2.6bn higher due to higher-than-expected claims from finance, manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade sectors.</i></p>
<p class="western"><br/></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif"><i>2)</i> <span style="font-style: normal;">This is a summary statement by Treasury of the <a href="http://www.treasury.gov.za/comm_media/press/monthly/1608/Summary.pdf" target="_blank">Budget forecast for 2017</a>. As at 30 June 2016</span></font></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif"><span style="font-style: normal;"><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956585?profile=original"><img class="align-full" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956585?profile=original" width="722"/></a></span></font></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">3) This is a summary of the Budget for 2016 as tabled by the Minister of Finance in Parliament in February for the year 2016.</font></p>
<p class="western"><br/> <a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956687?profile=original"><img class="align-full" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956687?profile=original" width="435"/></a></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">I don't want to be alarmist, but when you look up in the sky and see a comet hurtling towards you at 30 000 Kms/hour, like the fly hitting the car window, what is the last thing on your mind, besides your ass?</font></p>
<p class="western"><br/></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">Let us consider these three numbers in contrast. SARS tell us we collected R256Bn in the first quarter. Let us assume that December seasonality taken into account, that a forecast of of total tax collected for 2017 will be R1,050 Bn, coming up R 100 Bn short of Treasury's Jun Estimate.</font></p>
<p class="western"><br/></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">Now considering that Treasury is still saying in August, that last years expenditure of R 1,457 Bn will be reduced by R139 Bn to R 1,318 Bn. This will then go down in history as the first time that a Finance Minister has ever held back Government Spending. In the face of the latest election results, the executive is going to be under pressure from all its support-patronage relationships to rapidly deliver tribute. Lets say that we can expect them to come clean in Feb 2017 and admit to the same expenditure as 2016 (including the increased interest bill) Then they are likely underestimating the Deficit by R 139 Bn or R 289 Bn by their estimate.</font></p>
<p class="western"><br/></p>
<p class="western"><font face="Segoe UI Light, sans-serif">Now adding the SARS shortfall of R 100 Bn , we could be looking at final count for the 2017 deficit of R 389 Bn – If not Armageddon, then at least Adamastor, a storm gathering above the Cape of Good Hope, a hideous phantom of unearthly pallor.</font></p>Description of a Sclerotic Monopolytag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-08-22:2353269:BlogPost:177082016-08-22T08:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p>Description of a Sclerotic Monopoly with reference to ESKOM,</p>
<p>Municipal Distributors, IEPPs and South Africa</p>
<p>Philip Copeman 21 August 2016</p>
<p></p>
<p>Most students of economics learn in first year microeconomics what the effects of a pure monopoly are, namely higher prices and reduced output. For purposes of this discussion on ESKOM and South Africa, I am interested not so much in final demand but in intermediate demand. That is where customers of the output are businesses…</p>
<p>Description of a Sclerotic Monopoly with reference to ESKOM,</p>
<p>Municipal Distributors, IEPPs and South Africa</p>
<p>Philip Copeman 21 August 2016</p>
<p></p>
<p>Most students of economics learn in first year microeconomics what the effects of a pure monopoly are, namely higher prices and reduced output. For purposes of this discussion on ESKOM and South Africa, I am interested not so much in final demand but in intermediate demand. That is where customers of the output are businesses that use the electricity output as an input cost in their own businesses.</p>
<p></p>
<p>A sclerotic monopoly takes the pure monopoly analysis further and examines what happens when society encourages or allows the monopolist further powers to effect legislation that disallows competing technologies with substitute potentials from other sectors, from entering the market. There is a multiplier, choking effect on intermediary uses of the industry output that has a particularly damaging effect on aggregate output.</p>
<p></p>
<p>For the purposes of simplifying, I have drawn all supply and demand curves as straight lines. Areas and dimensions should not be taken in scale, but rather as a means of illustrating principle. Figure 1 In Figure1, three markets are examined: Competitive Market; Pure Monopoly and Sclerotic Monopoly. In the familiar Competitive Market there is a clearing process that determines a market price at the point where marginal demand equals marginal supply – Pcomp. At the price of Pcomp consumers are willing to buy a quantity Q1</p>
<p><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956624?profile=original"><img width="750" class="align-full" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956624?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" width="750"/></a></p>
<p>In a Competitive Market there is a benefit to consumers of output, called the consumer surplus. The consumer surplus is the pink triangular area under the demand curve A- H- Pcomp. When the output is used as an intermediary good, bought buy business consumers, like electricity is used in production, consumer surplus is particularly important as it effects the cost structure of each industry that consumes electricity or any goods made with electricity. Consumers in the area would have been prepared to pay a higher price, but get the benefit of Pcomp, which is lower than what they would have been prepared to pay. Entrepreneurs thrive on using these goods and the opportunities they present. Take these opportunities away and GDP evaporates.</p>
<p></p>
<p>In a Pure Monopoly, the monopolist tries to maximize its revenue. The monopolist can only sell more product if it lowers its prices, because the demand curve for its output slopes downward. Since demand only increases with decreasing prices, the marginal revenue gained by selling one additional unit will always be less than the price of that unit because the monopolist will have to sell all of its units at the lower price. Except for the first unit, marginal revenue is always less than price. As the quantity produced increases, marginal revenue continually declines until it becomes zero, then negative. The result as shown in the middle diagram of figure 1. Under Pure Monopoly the monopolist produces until the marginal revenue equals the marginal cost. This price is always greater than the Competitive Market price. The monopolist is restricting output and ensuring a higher clearing price. The consumer pays more – Pmon and uses less - Q2. Output drops from Q1 to Q2 and prices rise from Pcomp to Pmon.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The consumer surplus is now divided up. The monopolist takes the area Pmon- D'- B'- Pcomp. The consumer gets less surplus H'- D'- Pmon. Then the area D'-A'- B' is economic waste. Business consumers that have lost because they have been excluded from the market and are unable to use the inputs at the monopolists prices and were thus forced to restrict their own output. The economic waste and the multiplier there of is the reason that most economists will recommend that societies do not allow monopolies to form, even if that monopoly is owned by the state or the citizens.</p>
<p></p>
<p>We now examine the example of the sclerotic monopoly. In a Sclerotic Monopoly, the monopolist not only has monopoly control over the output, but can also control legislation that restricts the production of substitutes. I give it the name sclerotic, because the monopolist uses legislation to intentionally choke the the production of intermediary goods, thus triggering sclerosis down all industries that use intermediaries. In the case of electricity it effects all sectors.</p>
<p></p>
<p>In the case of ESKOM, who produce fossil and nuclear generated electricity, they take a monopolistic right over the production, distribution and sale of solar electricity. This is a separate good with separate production process and a separate demand curve. Solar is much cheaper to produce, but can only cater to a market that can accept interrupted supply. Solar clears at a cheaper price. With economies of scale this should approach zero. In the case of ESKOM, in the short and medium term as a fossil fuel and nuclear producer it has an almost perfect inelastic supply function.</p>
<p></p>
<p>In the short run, ESKOM cannot change the supply of electricity. It has to take the supply and maximize the revenue. Fortunately for ESKOM at this full supply price Demand is also inelastic. Further because of power brown outs, it is better to supply less that full capacity. This causes ESKOM to supply at Q2 at a price of Pmon instead of Full Output of Q1 at a price of Pcomp. ESKOM has little need for solar in a fossil mix as it does not focus on selling to customers who accept interrupted supply. However the opportunity does exist to sell solar electricity to users at prices P3 and extend output of solar buy Q3-Q2. The sclerotic monopoly destroys F''- E''- Q3- Q2 in GDP right there.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The sclerosis is worse as it has a multiplier. Because the output of electricity is used in production, The demand for solar increases even further from H''- E'' to J''- G''. This increases the price of solar and in fact with the multiplier the area Q2-C''- G''- Q4 is lost. Ah there's is the rub! Under the Sclerotic Monopoly, ESKOM (Our company) still collects a monopoly tax of Pmon- D''- B''- Pcomp but Government (Our Government) gives up 25% tax of the lost GDP Q2- C''- G''- Q4. By freeing the solar market and placing it into a Competitive Market, ESKOM does not change its revenue downwards, so much as the Government revenue increases. (it will take a full input output analysis to calculate the exact benefit). The key understanding is that there is not a perfect substitution between solar and fossil. The interrupted supply problems exclude the majority of fossil buyers from using solar. There is also a multiplier in that solar users increasing demand on all other producers, increase further demand on solar AND fossil generated electricity.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Municipal distributors can choose whether to give up revenue or not. Supply of fossilor solar products can be charged at an absolute value (Giving up no revenue) or relative, (taking the same margin off a cheaper delivery). In making that type of decision, tax collectors rarely allow the milk of human kindness to flow. However when the multiplier effects are taken into account, even the municipalities should benefit in tax collections from the increased GDP Solar IEPPs have to date been focusing on Government sales. Given that their costs of supply are so much lower than fossil, by freeing the market and and allowing the IEPPS to refocus on the private sector, there will be a massive boom in solar production and a consequent expansion of GDP (the multiplier could be as high as three)</p>
<p></p>
<p>Introduction of an Independent Public Producers Licence would free up entrepreneurial opportunities across all sectors and create an immediate jump in GDP and employment. It would free up Government agencies to make rapid decisions on new projects. It would also allow minds immeasurably superior to ours, all around the globe to participate in the supply of free electricity in South Africa.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Hence it is the recommendation of the author that electricity supply is immediately freed of legislative sclerosis. I recommend that NERSA, ESKOM and the South Africa Government grant an Independent Public Producers Licence with immediate effect.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Philip Copeman</p>
<p>TurboCASH Accounting,</p>
<p><a href="http://www.philipcopeman.com">www.philipcopeman.com</a></p>
<p></p>
<p>References</p>
<p></p>
<p>Advantages of Solar</p>
<p>wwwcleantechnica.com <a href="http://cleantechnica.com/2016/08/17/10-solar-energy-facts-charts-everyone-know/">http://cleantechnica.com/2016/08/17/10-solar-energy-facts-charts-everyone-know/</a></p>
<p>Wikipedia</p>
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monopoly">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monopoly</a></p>
<p></p>
<p>GNUGPL Public Licence</p>
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GNU_General_Public_License">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GNU_General_Public_License</a></p>
<p></p>
<p>Eskom Financial Statements</p>
<p><a href="http://www.eskom.co.za/IR2016/Documents/Eskom_AFS_2016.pdf">http://www.eskom.co.za/IR2016/Documents/Eskom_AFS_2016.pdf</a></p>Students are clambering towards the same troughtag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-08-16:2353269:BlogPost:180062016-08-16T15:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
<p class="western">In the olden days it was known that if the Jakaranda blossoms were blooming in Pretoria and you hadn't started swatting, you were going to fail. Those destined for failure, 1 in 2 students, would descend into a morass of drunkenness and debauchery, to lap up the last days of freedom, before sobering up and getting a lowly paid wage at a local employer and living out the rest of her days in capitalist slavery.…</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">In the olden days it was known that if the Jakaranda blossoms were blooming in Pretoria and you hadn't started swatting, you were going to fail. Those destined for failure, 1 in 2 students, would descend into a morass of drunkenness and debauchery, to lap up the last days of freedom, before sobering up and getting a lowly paid wage at a local employer and living out the rest of her days in capitalist slavery.</p>
<p class="western"><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956807?profile=original"><img width="350" class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956807?profile=RESIZE_480x480" width="350"/></a></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Nowdays, Spring is the time to go out and protest, a time for mass action, to remonstrate about #feesmustfall. A time to demand that free education is made available to all. There are always volunteers, 50% of the students at least, who now face a far darker future. 50% youth unemployment, is the fate of the non achievers. Every student is scrambling to stay inside and expand the system that feeds him.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">The rest of us, through acts of unspeakable resentment, deny the students their “consitutional right” to free education. The debate quickly descends into a stalemate, for no one will understand a logical argument when their wages depend on not understanding it.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Why do we as African socialists, not provide free education to anyone for as long as they choose to take it? Its all in economics101 - unlimited wants and limited resources.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">What is more important? That we feed a 6 year old orphan or we fund a sociology student? The sociology student costs us 10 times the cost of feeding the orphan, so how many kids should we choose to go hungry for each student?</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Right now in South Africa we do choose, we choose to make 5 Million hungry kids and give the money to 500 000 students. We fiscally spend on students about R40Bn per year, at the cost of around R80,000 per per student per year. We spend fiscally on hungry children less than 10% of that per child. This is the decision that the ANC led treasury, backed by the DA shadow Ministry, backed by 90% of South African voters takes, and by their action it is the decision that the students themselves make. The students are not grateful for this, they are in fact not neutral at all. They are calling for even more resources for them and less for the rest.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">The Treasury is faced not only by students and hungry children, it has an army of government workers and party officials to pay. Faced with competing requests for fiscal spend, they take the simple route - pay themselves first. The President and his family spend more on themselves that any other family in South Africa. The rest of the party supporters get paid next. They never quite manage to pay themselves enough, because barely have they got to end of the list when outstretched hands of friends and family are clambering over others in the shoving towards the trough. Such is the pressure on taxation versus revenue, that our Government over spends by around 4% of GDP and pays about 15% of our tax collection on service debt for past overspends.</p>
<p class="western"><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956815?profile=original"><img width="350" class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956815?profile=RESIZE_480x480" width="350"/></a></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Our tax is collected primarily from 10% of our population – 60% and from 1% of our population – 30%. So the very rich pay around 5 times more than the rich, depending on how you define the end of poverty line.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western" style="page-break-before: always;">Every Government will keep trying to maximize their tax collections. This is done under the very human belief that Government's themselves believe they are the best judges on how to use resources. The Government daily considers increasing taxation but soon calculates that they are on maximum tax already. Maximum tax is the hard line, dictatorship version of full tax. We are already committing the country to deficit financing, which means that our future capital base must ultimately deal with the debt we now create. Citizens of the 1% have the highest emigration rates and the 10% have the highest immigration rates. This means that increased taxation works better at the 10% than at the 1% who simply use corporate structure, tax advice, deferred tax instruments and global elasticity to avoid any targeted legislation. Then if all else fails they simply move their Capital elsewhere. Attempts to squeeze further tax from the 1% has a sclerotic effect on profits and future tax revenues. It is usually at the 10% that the Government directs its taxation efforts.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Now here's the rub. The 10% make up about 25% of the voters. Any attempt to tax them leads to squeaking about bus fair and school fees. In these tax payers, the milk of human kindness is hard to come by and under democracy the vote with their wallets. Governments are unable to ignore the haves, who are the majority of the voters.</p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">By now most people who have understood the economic arguments against free education have faced down Denial, Anger, Bargaining. The next stages are Depression and Acceptance. The argument moves to - if capitalism cannot provide free education – let us replace democracy and capitalism with a system that does provide free education.</p>
<p class="western"><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956819?profile=original"><img width="350" class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956819?profile=RESIZE_480x480" width="350"/></a></p>
<p class="western"></p>
<p class="western">Of course capitalism is dysfunctional, but it is still more functional than the rest. Under a mixed market that strives to free its entrepreneurs, highest levels of economic growth are achieved. In fact what we see in South Africa is the results of one of those options. I don't agree with you that South Africa is Capitalist. What we live in is closer to a socialist dictatorship. The Communist Party is in power over Education. The Communist Party is intimately involved with the choices of distribution made by the Executive. Out of all related parties, it is only students that think that hungry kids are not as important as students.</p>
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<p class="western">I was a student myself, one who had to work in part time employment to subsidize my fees, so I empathize with students. Never describe a problem without suggesting a solution:</p>
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<p class="western">We should accept that even to leave fees as they are, while under a regime of deficit financing, is simply to kick the can and the bill further down the road.</p>
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<p class="western">There is a way, a Capitalist way, that ensures that everyone gets the optimal solution. This even applies to those that are going to fail. For you the slap coming from the market is already being wound up in her back swing. Once you fall from the protection of your subsidized University living, you are going to find a cold world waiting. You will soon be begging for a system that offers you the best future in the non graduate world. That system is the one that approximates the one with the fastest rate of growth of GDP. You will be pleased then that we did not sacrifice your future for #feesmustfall.</p>
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<p class="western">We MUST have free education, but only to the best students. The rest should pay a market related price and should not ask anyone to subsidize their future. The exact ratios of the free bursars to the free market paid students has to be calculated in a sustainable financial model. As a Nation we can only ask this of the students if we ourselves refrain from deficit financing.</p>
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<p class="western">As this capitalist dystopia is more likely to unfold that the utopian #feemustfall what is the optimum set of protest actions for a student?</p>
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<p class="western">One can understand the camaraderie in the cauldron of tertiary education and the high sense of one's own destiny, even if it is stoked by the fires of self interest. However the sooner a student learns that tertiary education is temporary and narrows rapidly to the domain of a few academics, the sooner you are ready for the storm the world of capitalism will unleash on you.</p>
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<p class="western">It is tempting to dally with the illusion that you can attack capitalism by attacking the personifications of its exponents or its algorithms. It is truer that capitalism has no human form and is ruthless and utterly blind to mercy. You should avoid the mass action and head for the books. Capitalism does not serve you, you serve it, either as its master or as its bitch. The choice is yours to make.</p>The Trans Rhodesian Rail Companytag:philipcopeman.ning.com,2016-08-14:2353269:BlogPost:180022016-08-14T10:00:00.000ZPhilip Copemanhttp://philipcopeman.ning.com/profile/philipdc
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<p class="western">This satirical look at applied economics, describes dystopian problems and offers mathematically optimized solutions. With no regard for race, gender, religious belief, social ideology and with a particular animosity to those that promote the rights of groups, The Trans Rhodesian Rail Company sparks towards its destiny as one of Africa's premier wealth creators.…</p>
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<p class="western">This satirical look at applied economics, describes dystopian problems and offers mathematically optimized solutions. With no regard for race, gender, religious belief, social ideology and with a particular animosity to those that promote the rights of groups, The Trans Rhodesian Rail Company sparks towards its destiny as one of Africa's premier wealth creators.</p>
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<p class="western"><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956792?profile=original">.</a><a target="_blank" href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B-0sZaN0d9NhU3RIaFg4b2J1ZXc"><img width="490" class="align-right" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956778?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" width="490"/></a><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/72956792?profile=original"></a></p>
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<p class="western">Chapter 1 (PDF 17 Mb)</p>
<p><a href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B-0sZaN0d9NhU3RIaFg4b2J1ZXc" target="_blank">The Trans Rhodesian Rail Company</a></p>
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<p class="western">Also by Philip Copeman</p>
<p class="western"><a href="http://philipcopeman.ning.com/forum/topics/gods-first-fishermen">God's First Fishermen</a></p>